Gross Domestic Product, Second Quarter 2024 (Advance Estimate) (2024)

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  • Historical time series for these estimates can be accessed in BEA's interactive data application.
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  • For more on BEA's statistics, refer to our online journal, the Survey of Current Business.
  • BEA's news release schedule
  • NIPA Handbook: Concepts and Methods of the U.S. National Income and Product Accounts

Definitions

Gross domestic product (GDP), or value added, is the value of the goods and services produced by the nation's economy less the value of the goods and services used up in production. GDP is also equal to the sum of personal consumption expenditures, gross private domestic investment, net exports of goods and services, and government consumption expenditures and gross investment.

Gross domestic income (GDI) is the sum of incomes earned and costs incurred in the production of GDP. In national economic accounting, GDP and GDI are conceptually equal. In practice, GDP and GDI differ because they are constructed using largely independent source data.

Gross output is the value of the goods and services produced by the nation's economy. It is principally measured using industry sales or receipts, including sales to final users (GDP) and sales to other industries (intermediate inputs).

Current-dollar estimates are valued in the prices of the period when the transactions occurred—that is, at "market value." Also referred to as "nominal estimates" or as "current-price estimates."

Real values are inflation-adjusted estimates—that is, estimates that exclude the effects of price changes.

The gross domestic purchases price index measures the prices of final goods and services purchased by U.S. residents.

The personal consumption expenditure price index measures the prices paid for the goods and services purchased by, or on the behalf of, "persons."

Personal income is the income received by, or on behalf of, all persons from all sources: from participation as laborers in production, from owning a home or business, from the ownership of financial assets, and from government and business in the form of transfers. It includes income from domestic sources as well as the rest of world. It does not include realized or unrealized capital gains or losses.

Disposable personal income is the income available to persons for spending or saving. It is equal to personal income less personal current taxes.

Personal outlays is the sum of personal consumption expenditures, personal interest payments, and personal current transfer payments.

Personal saving is personal income less personal outlays and personal current taxes.

The personal saving rate is personal saving as a percentage of disposable personal income.

Profits from current production, referred to as corporate profits with inventory valuation adjustment (IVA) and capital consumption (CCAdj) adjustment in the National Income and Product Accounts (NIPAs), is a measure of the net income of corporations before deducting income taxes that is consistent with the value of goods and services measured in GDP. The IVA and CCAdj are adjustments that convert inventory withdrawals and depreciation of fixed assets reported on a tax-return, historical-cost basis to the current-cost economic measures used in the national income and product accounts. Profits for domestic industries reflect profits for all corporations located within the geographic borders of the United States. The rest-of-the-world (ROW) component of profits is measured as the difference between profits received from ROW and profits paid to ROW.

For more definitions, refer to the Glossary: National Income and Product Accounts.

Statistical conventions

Annual-vs-quarterly rates. Quarterly seasonally adjusted values are expressed at annual rates, unless otherwise specified. This convention is used for BEA's featured, seasonally adjusted measures to facilitate comparisons with related and historical data. For details, refer to the FAQ "Why does BEA publish estimates at annual rates?"

Quarterly not seasonally adjusted values are expressed only at quarterly rates.

Percent changes. Percent changes in quarterly seasonally adjusted series are displayed at annual rates, unless otherwise specified. For details, refer to the FAQ "How is average annual growth calculated?" and "Why does BEA publish percent changes in quarterly series at annual rates?" Percent changes in quarterly not seasonally adjusted values are calculated from the same quarter one year ago. All published percent changes are calculated from unrounded data.

Calendar years and quarters. Unless noted otherwise, annual and quarterly data are presented on a calendar basis.

Quantities and prices. Quantities, or "real" volume measures, and prices are expressed as index numbers with a specified reference year equal to 100 (currently 2017). Quantity and price indexes are calculated using a Fisher-chained weighted formula that incorporates weights from two adjacent periods (quarters for quarterly data and annuals for annual data). For details on the calculation of quantity and price indexes, refer to Chapter 4: Estimating Methods in the NIPA Handbook.

Chained-dollar values are calculated by multiplying the quantity index by the current dollar value in the reference year (2017) and then dividing by 100. Percent changes calculated from real quantity indexes and chained-dollar levels are conceptually the same; any differences are due to rounding. Chained-dollar values are not additive because the relative weights for a given period differ from those of the reference year. In tables that display chained-dollar values, a "residual" line shows the difference between the sum of detailed chained-dollar series and its corresponding aggregate.

Updates to GDP

BEA releases three vintages of the current quarterly estimate for GDP. "Advance" estimates are released near the end of the first month following the end of the quarter and are based on source data that are incomplete or subject to further revision by the source agency. "Second" and "third" estimates are released near the end of the second and third months, respectively, and are based on more detailed and more comprehensive data as they become available.

The table below shows the average revisions to the quarterly percent changes in real GDP between different estimate vintages, without regard to sign.

VintageAverage Revision
Without Regard to Sign
(percentage points, annual rates)
Advance to second0.5
Advance to third0.6
Second to third0.3
Note - Based on estimates from 1996 through 2022. For more information on GDP updates, refer to Revision Information on the BEA Website.

Annual and comprehensive updates are released in late September. Annual updates generally cover at least the five most recent calendar years (and their associated quarters) and incorporate newly available major annual source data as well as some changes in methods and definitions to improve the accounts. Comprehensive (or benchmark) updates are carried out at about 5-year intervals and incorporate major periodic source data, as well as major conceptual improvements.

Unlike GDP, advance current quarterly estimates of GDI and corporate profits are not released because data on domestic profits and net interest of domestic industries are not available. For fourth quarter estimates, these data are not available until the third estimate.

GDP by industry and gross output estimates are released with the third estimate of GDP.

Gross Domestic Product, Second Quarter 2024 (Advance Estimate) (2024)

FAQs

Gross Domestic Product, Second Quarter 2024 (Advance Estimate)? ›

Real gross domestic product (GDP) in the US grew at an annual rate of 3.0% in the second quarter of 2024, up from 2.8% in the initial estimate and 1.4% in the first quarter. The upward revision was mainly due to increased consumer spending (2.9% vs 2.3% earlier reported).

What is the GDP of the United States in 2024? ›

Real gross domestic product (GDP) increased at an annual rate of 3.0 percent in the second quarter of 2024, according to the "second" estimate. In the first quarter, real GDP increased 1.4 percent.

How much is the US consumer spending in Q2 2024? ›

Consumer Spending in the United States averaged 6770.43 USD Billion from 1950 until 2024, reaching an all time high of 15733.10 USD Billion in the second quarter of 2024 and a record low of 1487.85 USD Billion in the first quarter of 1950.

What is the GDP rate in the US today? ›

Basic Info. US GDP is at a current level of 28.63T, up from 28.27T last quarter and up from 27.06T one year ago. This is a change of 1.27% from last quarter and 5.79% from one year ago.

What is quarterly GDP? ›

Gross domestic product (GDP) is the standard measure of the value added created through the production of goods and services in a country during a certain period. As such, it also measures the income earned from that production, or the total amount spent on final goods and services (less imports).

What is the GDP growth rate in the second quarter of 2024? ›

Real gross domestic product (GDP) increased at an annual rate of 2.8 percent in the second quarter of 2024 (table 1), according to the "advance" estimate released by the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis.

What is the GDP revision for Q1 2024? ›

WASHINGTON, D.C. – Today, the Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) released its final estimate for economic growth in the first quarter (Q1) of 2024. The report found that real U.S. Gross Domestic Product (GDP) grew by just 1.4 percent.

What ethnicity spends the most money in America? ›

In 2022, housing required the highest amount of consumer expenditure across all races, with Asian individuals spending the most. Additionally, Asian individuals spent more on personal insurance and pensions, as well as education than any other race.

What is the consumer forecast for 2024? ›

A slowdown in inflation will bolster retail volume growth by 6.7% in US dollar terms and 2% in volume terms in 2024.

Are we on recession? ›

But as many economists will tell you, the US isn't and hasn't been in recession.

Is a recession coming in 2024? ›

Global recession outlook

There is now a 35% chance that the global economy will enter a recession by the end of 2024, and a 45% chance that it will do so by the end of 2025.

What is the real GDP forecast for the US? ›

Overall, we expect the US economy to post real GDP growth of 2.4% this year, but for growth to slow to 1.1% in 2025. Between 2026 and 2028, economic growth is expected to pick back up, with annual gains in real GDP forecasted to range between 1.6% and 1.9% per year.

What is the current potential GDP in the US? ›

Basic Info. US Real Potential GDP is at a current level of 27.80T, up from 27.68T last quarter and up from 27.33T one year ago. This is a change of 0.43% from last quarter and 1.75% from one year ago.

What is the GDP of the US in 2024? ›

CharacteristicGDP in billion U.S. dollars
202731,755.69
202630,503.55
202529,256.38
202428,176.6
7 more rows
Jul 5, 2024

How is the US economy right now? ›

The second-quarter growth marked a sharp acceleration from a sluggish 1.4% growth rate in the first three months of 2024. Consumer spending, which accounts for about 70% of U.S. economic activity, rose at a 2.9% annual rate last quarter.

Who has the highest GDP in the world? ›

The United States is the undisputed heavyweight when it comes to the economies of the world. America's gross domestic product in 2022 was more than 40% greater than that of China, the world No. 2. Even more striking, U.S. GDP was over five times that of the next two largest economies, Japan and Germany.

What is the GDP result of 2024? ›

The Indian economy is projected to grow by 7.0-7.1% in Q1 of 2024-25, according to an SBI Research report. This forecast, however, carries a downward bias. The Reserve Bank of India has predicted a 7.2% GDP growth for the entire fiscal year, with quarterly growth estimates of 7.1% for Q1.

What will be the GDP of U.S. in 2025? ›

CharacteristicGross domestic product in billion U.S. dollars
2025*29,839.68
2024*28,781.08
202327,357.83
202225,744.1
9 more rows
Jul 4, 2024

What is the richest country in the world in 2024? ›

Luxembourg

What is your state's GDP per capita in U.S. dollars in 2024? ›

GDP per capita also varied widely throughout the United States in 2024, with New York ($114,380), Massachusetts ($108,185), and North Dakota ($93,983) recording the three highest GDP per capita figures in the U.S., while Mississippi ($50,907), Arkansas ($58,449), and West Virginia ($57,857) recorded the three lowest ...

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